WHY RANDOMIZE?*

Farmer Jones wants to make an informed decision on which variety of corn to use.  She recognizes that not only  variety of corn, but also other variations in soil composition, fertility and drainage, will  determine the yield.  She decides to run an experiment to compare two corn varieties, A and B.  She has a field with 36 plots available for the experiment. On 18 plots she will plant variety A and on the other 18 plots she will plant variety B.  She wishes to determine whether the two varieties produce significantly different yields/

But how should she decide which plot receives which variety of corn?

Her husband suggests one option of plot assignment.  Put all the A variety on one side and put all the B variety on the other side. So the field will look like:
 

B B B A A A
B B B A A A
B B B A A A
B B B A A A
B B B A A A
B B B A A A

Her mother suggests another option of plot assignment.  Use a checkerboard technique of  assignment.  So the field will look like:
 
A B A B A B
B A B A B A
A B A B A B
B A B A B A
A B A B A B
B A B A B A

Your teacher will give you the "Truth", the actual yields for each variety in each plot.  Please remember that the Truth is not known to the farmer and  is never known to the experimenter - that is why he or she is doing the experiment!!!!  For each of the plot assignments calculate the average for variety A and for variety B.  Which appears to be the better variety?  Do the two
methods contradict each  other? ___________________________________________________


The farmer is confused. She doesn't know what to do!!!!!!  Fortunately the farmer next door has a day job as an AP Statistics teacher.  He suggests that randomizing the selection process might help.

How would you set up the randomization process, using either your calculator or a random
number table? _________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

Carry out the process and assign the plots here:
 
. . . . . .
. . . . . .
. . . . . .
. . . . . .
. . . . . .
. . . . . .
 
Now recalculate the means of variety A and variety B.  What are your results?  Take a careful look at the "Truth".  Which variety appears to have  the better yield?  By how much?  Share and discuss your results.