
1. Pour your package of m&m's into a paper cup or other small container.
Shake vigorously. Without looking in the cup remove one candy at
a time until you select a green one. Record the number that you needed
for the first green to appear. Return the candies to the package
and shake again. Continue until the class has 50 trials. Plot
and then predict the average number of candies needed to get the green
candy. What type of distribution is this? ____________________
Theoretical wait time for a green = _________candies
Sampling wait time for a green = __________ candies
2. Simulations and modeling:
How many M&M’s must be selected before you have one of each color?
Use a random number table to do a simulation of this question. State
how you will use the random number table in your simulation and run it
10 times. What is the average number of M&M’s that were selected
in order to have one of each color? _____________
3. Suppose you don’t know if your package of m&m's contain
the color blue, but you hypothesize that it probably does, since other
varieties of M&M’s contain blue. You take a random sample of
10 candies and don’t find any blue ones. You conclude that packages
of mini-M&M’s don’t include blue candies. What type of error
have you made? _____________. Is it possible to make a type
II error in this experiment? Y
N
4. Count all the candies in your package. Record the colors of
each. Find the expected values for each color. Use a hypothesis
test to calculate how well your sample proportions fit the population proportions
of each color. What type of test are you going to do? _____________________
5. Consider your package of candy a random sample from the population.
Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of green candies
from your sample.
Did your confidence interval contain the true population proportion?
Y N
Suppose you had 200 packages of M&M’s and you made 95% confidence
intervals for the proportion of greens for each package.
How many of these confidence intervals should contain the true population
proportion?
What is the definition of 95% confidence interval?
6. Matched pairs t
You will need a stop watch, a paper plate and a sheet of paper.
On the full sized sheet of paper trace a large circle, at least 8 inches
in diameter. Place a mark on the perimeter to indicate a starting
point. Scatter your candies on the paper plate. Using your
thumb and one finger, see how quickly your dominant hand can place the
m&m's on the traced circle, so that the m&m's are touching each
other and following the perimeter of the circle. Compare the
dominant hand with the recessive hand using matched pairs procedures.
Collect class data the class data and perform a significance test.